Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.616367 0.697815 0.784429 0.883224 0.992620 1.109867 1.244859
2025-10-12 0.509068 0.625910 0.758955 0.920934 1.112038 1.329521 1.594905
2025-10-19 0.414675 0.551068 0.716586 0.930468 1.197567 1.518018 1.929229
2025-10-26 0.340812 0.487548 0.676571 0.934602 1.273853 1.700463 2.272624
2025-11-02 0.283052 0.434286 0.640347 0.936274 1.344004 1.878810 2.624690
2025-11-09 0.237492 0.389524 0.607932 0.936720 1.409567 2.053867 2.984390
2025-11-16 0.202236 0.353424 0.581714 0.940738 1.477737 2.235105 3.363673
2025-11-23 0.170851 0.317724 0.550482 0.932181 1.524673 2.387670 3.711423
2025-11-30 0.150608 0.296538 0.538203 0.949700 1.609846 2.599018 4.155115
2025-12-07 0.128823 0.268892 0.511424 0.940239 1.650986 2.745987 4.511425
2025-12-14 0.113351 0.249905 0.496345 0.947397 1.717503 2.934027 4.938967
2025-12-21 0.097289 0.226954 0.471078 0.933789 1.747606 3.065530 5.285162
2025-12-28 0.089781 0.220020 0.474379 0.971143 1.867147 3.348856 5.889994
2026-01-04 0.082826 0.213074 0.476719 1.006760 1.986184 3.638478 6.521290
2026-01-11 0.073616 0.199572 0.464494 1.013724 2.054747 3.847932 7.032908
2026-01-18 0.065176 0.186243 0.450786 1.016093 2.114554 4.045324 7.534260
2026-01-25 0.057684 0.173719 0.437013 1.016590 2.170288 4.238083 8.036884
2026-02-01 0.051096 0.162138 0.423657 1.016258 2.223806 4.429156 8.545332
2026-02-08 0.045625 0.152356 0.412941 1.020062 2.285038 4.636658 9.091706
2026-02-15 0.040003 0.140958 0.396891 1.010568 2.318762 4.795198 9.558224
2026-02-22 0.036662 0.135376 0.393880 1.029155 2.409922 5.064038 10.234130
2026-03-01 0.032198 0.125442 0.378791 1.018888 2.440667 5.220525 10.712370
2026-03-08 0.029105 0.119078 0.371832 1.026485 2.508974 5.451552 11.337513